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Wang’s view is also shared by a well-respected financial publication, Caijing, which also predicted that for every 1 percent increase in NPL ratio, there will be RMB 1 trillion in non-performing assets. The PricewaterhouseCoopers International Limited 2012 report, however, shows optimism towards NPLs in China. It believed that the government would eventually intervene to control the NPLs. One example of this is when the CBRC instructed banks to invest in local government investment vehicles so as to avoid defaults.
In contrast, Japan was very slow in recognizing and resolving its NPL problem which started in the early 1990s. The NPL ratio didn’t peak until 2002 and much damage was done in the meantime to the banking system and indeed to the overall economy. China, where the government is even more involved in the economy, is running a clear risk of a prolonged NPL cycle. Local governments have poured millions of capital into rescuing failing corporates. NPL problem in Zhejiang-Wenzhou and beyond The real estate market of Wenzhou is one of the very few that have not “recovered” in terms of prices this summer, unlike its peers elsewhere in China.
2006, 17 May. Wall Street’s war for China. Fortune. com China Banking Regulatory Commission. 2006. Background information for the regulations on administration of foreign-funded banks. China Development Gateway. cn China Daily. 2008. Moody’s: banking outlook remains stable. China Daily, 18 June. www. cn China Daily. 2009. Challenges face China banking industry in 2009. cn Chovanec, P. (2009). China’s real estate riddle. Far East Economic Review, 172. Economist Intelligence Unit. 2009. Banking on the countryside.